Speaker(s): Corentin Gouache

Date: Thursday 26th March 2020 - 2:00 pm


Earthquakes occur everywhere and everytime. Moreover, large earthquakes that really impact our society are sparse events. That's why statistical analysis of seismicity attended to describe the large amount of small earthquakes in order to extrapolate to the large earthquakes through scaling laws. Thus, it has been found that independent seismicity uses to follow a Poissonian law whereas the dependant events follow a time-reversal law. However, these laws have been described in California or Japan, where seismicity is strong. Regarding the low amount of data in low seismicity areas like French mainland, the adequacy of these laws can be questioned. This seminar highlights the drawbacks brought by a classical model of seismic hazard estimation when applied on low seismic activity areas. A scheme is proposed to overcome these issues.